December 17, 2003

Saddam's Capture

Okay, I originally planned this to be primarily a political blog, and I seem to be getting away from that a bit. Part of the problem is that I feel a lot of what I would comment on current events requires a good deal of background which I haven’t posted yet, and the other part is that I just can’t post several times a day like many political bloggers (so I hope none of you use me as your sole source of news! There are plenty of good political blogs that update much more frequently).

For example, Saddam’s capture (the link is only there to give this post context for future reference. You have to have already known about this unless, say, you’ve been living in a hole in Tikrit… well actually, then you’d probably have been the first to know about it, huh?). There isn’t much I would say that differs from what everybody else has already said. That this is a great development is obvious, although it might not feel like it for Democrats (which is why I dislike our two-party partisan politics so much — it makes many people on both sides miss the bigger picture).

I think it’s futile to try and reach some sort of conclusion as to exactly what kind of impact this will have in our fight against the insurgents. That it’ll help is obvious, but how much it will help is not clear at all. The attacks in the past couple of days really aren’t a good indicator, because it’s possible they were planned before his capture, and if not, the insurgents especially want to step things up in retaliation anyway, or at least to try and send the message that this isn’t over. Besides, any real analysis from me would require a good deal of background information on where I stood on the whole Iraq war and why.

So for now, the only real meaningful thing I have to say is hold off on making premature conclusions. Not to single out anybody, because too many people made the same mistake with the economy, complaining about the “jobless recovery” when the recovery was still young (now, some of them are now simply changing their tune to merely point out the job growth is lower than usual in a recovery, which is only to be expected after a bubble is burst). Quite frankly, it simply takes time to see the real picture in things like these, and I guess the short attention spans of Americans makes it hard for us to accept that.

The rest of what I’d say will just have to wait until I post my opinion on the Iraq war. Stay tuned!

December 17, 2003 01:45 PM in Foreign Affairs | Permalink
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